With another over/under $1.1 million on Wednesday, Paramount and Skydance’s Top Gun: Maverick has now grossed $654.2 million in 69 days of domestic theatrical release. That gives the film another box office miracle, putting it above the unadjusted $653.4 million gross of Universal and Amblin’s Jurassic World. That makes it the eighth-biggest domestic earner of all time, sans inflation, of course, and the third-biggest summer release behind the last two Avengers movies. Since Avengers: Infinity War ($679 million in 2018) and Avengers: Endgame ($858 million in 2019) opened in late April, Tom Cruise’s Top Gun sequel is technically the biggest summer release ever. Whether or not that’s cheating (see also: Fast Five in 2011), at this juncture, Top Gun 2 will pass both Titanic ($659 million counting the 2012 reissue) and Avengers 3 anyway.
Once it passes the James Cameron masterpiece, it’ll be A) the seventh-biggest domestic earner of all time and B) the third-biggest non-Disney grosser ever. Fox’s Avatar ($760 million in 2009/2010) is now owned by Disney. Sony’s Spider-Man: No Way Home ($805 million in 2021/2022) is tied to Disney’s Marvel Cinematic Universe. The $170 million Joseph Kosinski-directed legacy sequel will soon be the biggest domestic earner with no benefit or connection to the Walt Disney empire. Whether it catches up with Black Panther ($700 million in 2018) and sits behind only Avatar, No Way Home, Avengers 4 and The Force Awakens ($937 million in 2015/2016), Top Gun: Maverick is the first $1 billion grosser that isn’t a Marvel/DC comic book movie or a Disney/Universal release since WB’s The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey and Sony’s Skyfall in late 2012.
It’s still pulling tiny weekend-to-weekend drops and raw weekend grosses behind only (in terms of biggest tenth weekend or biggest eleventh weekend or whatever) Titanic and Avatar. Here’s another data point: Yesterday was its 69th day with daily grosses above $1 million. That puts it a week out from The Phantom Menace (61 days in the summer of 1999) and above the 46-day-to-55 day likes of (deep breath) Infinity War, Force Awakens, Spider-Man, The Sixth Sense, Jurassic World, Wonder Woman, Black Panther, Frozen, The Avengers, Jurassic Park and Shrek. It’s behind only, unless I missed one but I don’t think I did, Avatar (81 days in 2009/2010) and Titanic (102 days in 1997/1998). With a likely return to IMAX/PLF theaters in mid-August (why not?), it has an outside shot at passing Avatar’s 81-day milestone.
In terms of global grosses, it’s at around $1.33 billion worldwide, just a day or three away from passing Star Wars: The Last Jedi ($1.333 billion in 2018) and maybe another weekend away from Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows part II ($1.342 billion in 2011) and Black Panther ($1.348 billion). Once Peter Mitchell passes T’Challa, Top Gun: Maverick will be in 13th place behind Avengers: Age of Ultron ($1.405 billion in 2015). It may end its run in unlucky 13th place as the fourth-biggest non-Disney/non-Universal title behind Sony’s Spider-Man: No Way Home ($1.91 billion in 2021/2022), Fox/Paramount’s Titanic ($2.2 billion counting reissues) and Fox’s Avatar ($2.847 billion).
A conventional performance in China and Russia, Fallout earned $181 million in 2018, would have likely pushed the film past Avengers 2 and Frozen II ($1.45 billion in 2019/2020) to become the biggest “part two” sequel of all time globally. It would have likely placed the film above the unadjusted grosses of Furious 7 ($1.515 billion in 2015) and The Avengers ($1.518 billion in 2012) to crack the top ten behind Jurassic World ($1.67 billion in 2015), a few Disney and/or MCU titles and James Cameron’s dynamic duo. However, it’s China’s loss not to be playing big Hollywood movies like Top Gun: Maverick and Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($955 million). Hollywood doesn’t need China. That’s no shade on them, as I hope I don’t have to fly overseas to see The Wandering Earth 2 when the time comes.